Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.134677 0.158224 0.184526 0.216062 0.252832 0.294337 0.344734
2025-11-23 0.096888 0.126418 0.162853 0.211038 0.273028 0.350042 0.452952
2025-11-30 0.078709 0.111060 0.154040 0.215167 0.299727 0.412441 0.573994
2025-12-07 0.065297 0.098293 0.144886 0.215233 0.318508 0.464312 0.685567
2025-12-14 0.054144 0.086254 0.134081 0.210151 0.327754 0.502265 0.780484
2025-12-21 0.046600 0.078105 0.127321 0.209331 0.342087 0.547993 0.890952
2025-12-28 0.042278 0.074201 0.126272 0.216763 0.369457 0.615900 1.042829
2026-01-04 0.039079 0.071572 0.126729 0.226374 0.401058 0.693481 1.218646
2026-01-11 0.035668 0.068007 0.125006 0.231809 0.425879 0.762074 1.386567
2026-01-18 0.031972 0.063349 0.120673 0.231888 0.440988 0.815190 1.532870
2026-01-25 0.027782 0.057138 0.112665 0.224078 0.440562 0.840302 1.630915
2026-02-01 0.024131 0.051443 0.104857 0.215545 0.437510 0.859831 1.720016
2026-02-08 0.021721 0.048084 0.101485 0.215956 0.453214 0.918990 1.897241
2026-02-15 0.018961 0.043605 0.095316 0.210005 0.455731 0.953507 2.031579
2026-02-22 0.017464 0.041622 0.094022 0.214007 0.479173 1.032291 2.265017
2026-03-01 0.015826 0.039060 0.091111 0.214060 0.494094 1.095077 2.472206
2026-03-08 0.014023 0.035821 0.086233 0.209005 0.497032 1.132637 2.629229
2026-03-15 0.012729 0.033607 0.083381 0.208188 0.509370 1.191870 2.840972
2026-03-22 0.012079 0.032896 0.083966 0.215581 0.541711 1.299342 3.174809
2026-03-29 0.011598 0.032544 0.085368 0.225141 0.580404 1.425625 3.566990
2026-04-05 0.010928 0.031589 0.085130 0.230547 0.609547 1.532685 3.925476
2026-04-12 0.010062 0.029959 0.082942 0.230626 0.625264 1.609188 4.217989
2026-04-19 0.008941 0.027430 0.078039 0.222857 0.619709 1.632706 4.380583